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Abstract

The labor market is an important component in system of socialist market economic system. Since reforming and opening,The labor market has gradually developed,developing and mature in our country,But due to the influence of nature,society,system,idea and so on,and compared to other elements of market,labor market development relative lag,The labor market development is unbalanced state,and It already brought seriously effect to our country labor natural resources optimize configuration,the play of function of whole of market economic system and the process of constructing harmonious society. Therefore,in the face of the disequilibrium labor market,how to increase breed strength,improve the efficiency of resources allocation,Improve labor market efficiency,relief of labor supply and demand imbalance and and correct the structural imbalance of the market,improve the construction of labor market,labor force market and other markets’ coordinated development,promote social harmony,stability,fairness,has become China’s economic system reform needs to be studied and solved major task.

At present,the western economics is based on walrasian general equilibrium,its core theory is that a wide variety of goods is decided by the general equilibrium price when there are infinitely many items under the conditions of the market,with perfect competition as the research background,application of mathematical deduction,from currency exchange,production,capital formation,and four aspects to determine relative prices across markets in general equilibrium theory system. General equilibrium theory is perfectly balanced by price error,the formation of equilibrium price requires conditions:completeness and symmetry of information; Price changes are free,sensitive and rapid; Each market there is a quote,it was able to quickly provide price information to traders,and not traded before reaching equilibrium price. Obviously,these conditions do not exist in the realistic economy,trading is not necessarily to be carried out in accordance with the equilibrium price,the market may not settle. Non-walrasian analysis method is the inconsistency of supply and demand of market environment,the economic actors to face all kinds of quantity and price constraints,how to adjust their effective demand and effective supply and achieve a quota balance the economy. Non walrasian equilibrium theory,also known as disequilibrium theory,is with the help of more general assumptions,application in the walrasian general equilibrium theory has been successful,on the basis of walrasian general equilibrium theory,it is not balanced. It allows not off and not completely competitive market,it researches the market changed from disequilibrium to equilibrium time adjustment process,emphasizes the change of prices-the number of signals,makes effective reach equilibrium of supply and demand of each market. Disequilibrium theory is that,in all markets,all time,completely dependent on price adjustment makes the supply and demand equal chance forever.Traders in the market at the same time won the price signals and quantity,by price and number of constraints at the same time,the price-number of mixed adjustment method is the foundation of equilibrium analysis method,and the due to the method in order to realize the combination of western macroeconomics and microeconomics aspect opens up a new way,it is closer to the actual situation of the economy,can explain some use general equilibrium analysis is difficult to answer the question,thus brought to the attention of a growing number of economists. Non walrasian equilibrium theory in the west as the background of market economy,it proposed prices-quantity together to adjust the quota mechanism and the application of the principles of short side,many economic problems for us to study socialism is very significance.

Based on above analysis,this paper on the basis of Barro,Robert J.,and Herschel I.Grossman and Benassy,Jean-Pascal’s disequilibrium theory model,it put the human capital factors into the framework,discussion of disequilibrium hypothesis gradually relaxed mode,structure disequilibrium model,human capital to the influence of unbalanced regional and contrast analysis of two cases (with the factors of human capital and non human capital factors),in different effectiveness of unbalanced regional Labour market economic policy,and to give corresponding policy advice parameters are located in different area,In the theoretical model construction,the supply and demand relations of products and labor are classified into three different disequilibrium sub-regions.Based on theoretical derivation,this paper makes an empirical analysis of the unbalanced development of China’s labor market. Finally,it expands the labor market model to a dual-market model (labor market and product market),and combines it with the analysis of regional allocation and industrial allocation of heterogeneous human capital,in order to provide guidance for real cases.

First of all,it is in non equilibrium analysis that the wage and price are fully rigid,product and labor supply and demand is divided into three regions,in the areas of labor excess supply and product excess demand,reducing real wages is the key to improve the employment status.It exists difference between the situation of H =1 and H >1 that the changes of nominal wage brings the economic effects. In the situation of H =1,Lower wages plays a role of alleviating unemployment and increasing product supply. In the situation of H >1,employment is a decreasing function of the salary,but the output is an increasing function of salary.In this area,the traditional Keynes protectionist measures is very undesirable effect.It is in the areas that product market and labor market are in excess supply,Keynes’s policy is very effective,and The increase in government expenditure does not crowd out private consumption,in contrary,It encourages private consumption increase.It does not affect the policy effect in the region when we put the factors of human capital into the model. and Keynes’s policy on improving human capital plays a positive effect.It is in the areas that the labor market and product market are in excess supply,the situation of H =1 and H >1 will not change the suppressed inflation characteristics.But in the situation of H >1,Government policy which brought about the Policy effect is smaller than the situation of H =1.It is noteworthy in this regional that government expenditure on private consumption is complete extrusion.

Secondly,it is in non equilibrium analysis that the wage and price are telescopic.the part also analyzes three classical non-equilibrium regionals. In the areas of labor excess supply and product excess demand,Whether or not introducing human capital factors,we can obtain traditional Keynes’s overall effect,in the situation of H =1,the classical policy of Changes in nominal wages W is invalid on production and employment.In the situation of H >1,the nominal wage is a decreasing function of output and employment.If the product price has been increased,we can obtain double effect of relieving product excess supply and reducing unemployment rate.It is in the region that Product market is supply and demand balance and labor market is excess supply. Classical policy effects in two kinds of circumstances( H =1 and H >1)are very different.In the situation of H =1,Rising wages brought positive effects on output and employment.so reducing the wage level can rise to alleviate the effects of unemployment.in the situation of H >1,there is a negative relationship between the nominal wages and output and employment.It is in the region that Product market is supply and demand balance and labor market is excess demand. Due to the level of employment reaches the maximum value,the traditional Keynes’s policy became completely inactive. Private consumption is government spending completely extrusion.Classical policy effects in two kinds of circumstances ( H =1 and H >1) exists obvious difference.In the situation of H =1,Changes in nominal wages which belong to the “classical policy” will not affect the level of employment. In the situation of H >1,in the long run,the only way that manufacturers want to manipulate the quota restriction is to raise the wages of the workers,because rising wages can inspire families to increase the investment of human capital,so as to improve the level of human capital.

Third,In non equilibrium analysis of the wage index,it is conclusions that the index can significantly modify the relative validity of various anti-unemployment policies.in the areas of labor and product excess supply,we can obtain the traditional Keynes’s overall effect,but classical policy are completely ineffective. In the situation of H >1,Keynes doctrine and classical policy can effectively eliminate unemployment and raise the level of human capital.It is in the region that Product market is supply and demand balance and labor market is excess supply,the needs policy’s effectiveness of The Keynes doctrine is decreasing gradually as the degree of index is increasing gradually,It is in the situation that the nominal wages are indexed completely According to the standard of price.the needs policy’s effectiveness of the Keynes doctrine even becomes completely invalid. If we put the factors of human capital in the the non equilibrium model,we will find that “Keynesian doctrine” and “classical policy” has smaller output and employment effect in compare with the case of non human capital factors. It is in the region that Product market is supply and demand balance and labor market is excess demand,Whether or not containing human capital factors,Keynes doctrine and Classical policy is completely ineffective on the level of output and employment.

Fourth,it is in non equilibrium analysis that economic behavior person set product price based on objective and subjective demand curve. Mathematical analysis shows that,the Watras equilibrium is a special limit form,when the Elastic coefficientof non equilibrium model tends to infinity.that is to say when the cognitive demand curve has infinite elasticity,we will get such result. If we gradually relaxed disequilibrium hypothesis condition,the research for non equilibrium not only increases the general,but also not sacrifices strict,because prices and wages are derived directly from the maximization problem.such result is different from supply and demand equal condition in Walras model,in which supply and demand equal condition was simply treated as the basic assumptions,this not only expands on Walras equilibrium framework,but also enriched the Walras equilibrium model in which price and wage are completely fixed.More importantly,when we put the human capital factors into the model of imperfect competition,we will get a more complete,more abundant analysis framework which is better than the model of traditional market clearing.

Fifth.in the empirical research of Chinese labor market,in single market disequilibrium model and empirical test,we see that there are some differences in construction and estimation by introducing the factor of human capital and non human capital factor model,Compared to no human capital status,better fitting effect by introducing the factor of human capital model,compared to other factors,The factors of human capital brings greater utility,And in the non equilibrium model embedded in human capital factors,the overall influence of explanatory variables in the greater.Secondly,based on the labor market disequilibrium of the inspection,the labor market of our country run obviously in non-equilibrium state,the surplus of labor supply and excess demand turns is normal,The overall trend is supply over demand,The final volume of the labor market is very far from the macro short edge principle.Finally,This article constructs and empirical test of labour and consumer goods dual market disequilibrium model,model reflects the essential characteristics of multi-market disequilibrium model:spillover effects across markets. From the dual labor market,the consumer market disequilibrium model in the empirical analysis,it has a significant spillover effect between markets,and has a tendency to grow.

Sixth,in the heterogeneous human capital disequilibrium allocation research. By constructing the mechanism of heterogeneous human capital and industrial agglomeration on the whole industrial structure and doing empirical test,it can be seen that the primary and senior human capital and industrial agglomeration have a significant role in promoting the rationalization of industrial structure. The interaction of primary and intermediate human capital and industrial agglomeration to promote the rationalization of industrial structure; The interaction of primary and intermediate human capital and industrial agglomeration has significant influence on the rationalization of industrial structure. The agglomeration of manufacturing industry and producer services will inhibit the rationalization of industrial structure,and the effect of manufacturing agglomeration on the rationalization of industrial structure is stronger than that of producer services. The agglomeration of producer services promotes the upgrading of industrial structure. From the empirical results of the eastern,central and western regions,the primary human capital promotes the rationalization of industrial structure in the central region,the intermediate human capital promotes the optimization of industrial structure in the western region,and the senior human capital promotes the upgrading of industrial structure in the eastern region and the rationalization of industrial structure in the central region. Manufacturing agglomeration has a positive impact on the rationalization of industrial structure in the eastern and western regions,service industry agglomeration has a positive impact on the rationalization of industrial structure in the central and eastern regions,and manufacturing industry agglomeration has a promoting effect on the upgrading of industrial structure in the central region. In eastern area of high-level human capital to interact with the service to promote the upgrading of industrial structure,the central area of the primary,intermediate and manufacturing agglomeration inhibition of the industrial structure optimization of human capital,human capital and manufacturing agglomeration in western area of intermediate cross terms of promote the rationalization of industrial structure,and the service of the cross terms to promote industrial structure optimization,advanced human capital and manufacturing agglomeration,service interaction has a negative effect to the industrial structure optimization.

On the one hand,the research conclusion of this book helps us to have a deeper understanding and application of the theory of disequilibrium; on the other hand,it helps us to better grasp the law of labor force operation and better evaluate and design market policies,which has theoretical and practical significance.

Keywords: non-Walrasian equilibrium theory,labor market,human capital,micro econometric analysis BevBLO4El+tAQSAXAJR9QuRobwCg7bVH2KIaZbvwOdOlIJ29MM+OrdGrWeHsw5ut

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