白永清,智协飞,祁海霞,等.基于多尺度SPI的中国南方大旱监测[J].气象科学,2010,30(3):292-300.
鲍志伟,张忠国,王永东.干旱预报模型分析[J].东北水利水电,2009,27(11):48-51+72.
蔡敏,黄艳,朱宵峰,等.Z指数方法在小流域洪涝灾害预警技术研究中的应用[J].气象科技,2010,38(4):418-422.
陈刚,曲宏巍.一种新的模糊时间序列模型的预测方法[J].控制与决策,2013,28(1):105-108+114.
楚恩国,卜贤晖.2004年洪泽湖流域干旱原因分析[J].水文,2006,26(5):80-82.
戴昌军,梁忠民.多维联合分布计算方法及其在水文中的应用[J].水利学报,2006,37(2):160-165.
段建军,高照良,王小利,等.黄土高原降水计算插值与插值计算结果的对比分析[J].中国水土保持科学,2009,7(6):32-39.
段佩利,秦丽杰,张辉.吉林省东部山区干旱时空特征[J].环境科学与管理,2012,37(2):35-39.
范嘉泉,郑剑非.帕尔默气象干旱研究方法介绍[J].气象科技,1984,(1):63-71.
范严,程琳.实现准确预报的降水预报模型构建方法研究[J].计算机仿真,2013,30(2):351-353+363.
方茸,周后福,屈雅.基于江淮分水岭地区的Z指数修正[J].气象,2010,36(10):110-113.
冯平,李绍飞,王仲珏.干旱识别与分析指标综述[J].中国农村水利水电,2002(7):13-15.
符淙斌,延晓冬,郭维栋.北方干旱化与人类适应——以地球系统科学观回答面向国家重大需求的全球变化的区域响应和适应问题[J].自然科学进展,2006,16(10):1216-1223.
高军,庞博,梁媛,等.集对分析法在陕西省单站旱涝等级划分中的应用[J].南水北调与水利科技,2011,9(6):74-78.
郭铌,管晓丹.植被状况指数的改进及在西北干旱监测中的应用[J].地球科学进展,2007,22(11):1160-1168.
郭锐,智协飞.中国南方旱涝时空分布特征分析[J].气象科学,2009,29(5):598-605.
韩飞,杨春生,刘清.一种改进的基于梯度搜索的粒子群优化算法[J].南京大学学报(自然科学版),2013,49(2):196-201.
韩海涛,胡文超,陈学君,等.三种气象干旱指标的应用比较研究[J].干旱地区农业研究,2009,27(1):237-241+247.
韩继伟,孔凡哲,赵磊,等.两种气象干旱指标的应用比较研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2012,(1):85-88.
能源部、水利部西北勘测设计院.干旱研究译文集[M].西安:西北勘测设计院出版社,1991.
黄道友,彭廷柏,王克林,等.应用Z指数方法判断南方季节性干旱的结果分析[J].中国农业气象,2003,24(4):13-16.
黄晚华,杨晓光,李茂松,等.基于标准化降水指数的中国南方季节性干旱近58a演变特征[J].农业工程学报,2010,26(7):50-59.
江和文,郭婷婷,包颖,等.辽宁省近 50 年旱涝灾害的时空特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(2):29-33+22.
李计.基于Archimedean Copulas函数的多变量干旱频率及空间分析[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2012.
李计,李毅,贺缠生.基于Copula函数的黑河流域干旱频率分析[J].西北农林科技大学学报(自然科学版),2013a,41(1):213-220+228.
李计,李毅,宋松柏,等.基于Copulas函数的干旱变量联合分布及空间分析[J].自然资源学报,2013b,28(2):312-320.
李景刚,李纪人,黄诗峰,等.基于TRMM数据和区域综合Z指数的洞庭湖流域近10年旱涝特征分析[J].资源科学,2010,32(6):1103-1110.
李晓娟,曾沁,梁健,等.华南地区干旱气候预测研究[J].气象科技,2007,35(1):26-30.
刘庚山,郭安红,安顺清,等.帕默尔干旱指标及其应用研究进展[J].自然灾害学报,2004,13(4):21-27.
刘巍巍,安顺清,刘庚山,等.帕默尔旱度模式的进一步修正[J].应用气象学报,2004,15(2):207-216.
刘文标,傅春.江西省旱地干旱预报模型的建立与应用[J].南昌工程学院学报,2008,27(4):64-67.
陆桂华,闫桂霞,吴志勇,等.近50年来中国干旱化特征分析[J].水利水电技术,2010,41(3):78-82.
莫淑红,沈冰,张晓伟,等.基于Copula函数的河川径流丰枯遭遇分析[J].西北农林科技大学学报(自然科学版),2009,37(6):131-136.
潘淑坤,张明军,汪宝龙,等.近51年新疆S干旱指数变化特征分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(3):32-39.
邵进.典型气候区干旱时空分布规律及预测模型的研究[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2014.
邵进,李毅.新疆地区不同时间尺度旱涝时空分布及其变化规律的研究[J].灌溉排水学报,2014,33(1):68-73.
史小露,孙辉,李俊,等.具有快速收敛和自适应逃逸功能的粒子群优化算法[J].计算机应用,2013,33(5):1308-1312.
宋松柏,蔡焕杰,粟晓玲.专门水文学[M].杨凌:西北农林科技大学出版社,2005.
唐红玉,王志伟,史津梅,等.PDSI和Z指数在西北干旱监测应用中差异性分析[J].干旱地区农业研究,2009,27(5):6-11+64.
佟长福,郭克贞,佘国英,等.西北牧区干旱指标分析及旱情实时监测模型研究[J].节水灌溉,2007,(3):6-9.
王革丽,杨培才.时空序列预测分析方法在华北旱涝预测中的应用[J].地理学报,2003,58(S1):132-137.
王劲松,黄玉霞,冯建英,等.径流量Z指数与Palmer指数对河西干旱的监测[J].应用气象学报,2009,20(4):471-477.
王净,贾红,王今殊.灰色系统理论在徐州地区气象干旱预测中的应用[J].徐州师范大学学报(自然科学版),2011,29(4):75-78.
王璐,温海燕,杨春生,等.三种干旱指标在北京地区的应用对比研究[J].水电能源科学,2012,30(3):5-7+212.
王素艳,郑广芬,杨洁,等.几种干旱评估指标在宁夏的应用对比分析[J].中国沙漠,2012,32(2):517-524.
王英.阜新地区干旱指标计算及干旱预测[D].沈阳:沈阳农业大学,2006.
王英,迟道才.干旱指标研究与进展[J].科技创新导报,2009,(35):72+74.
王永弟.模糊时间序列模型在短期气候预测中的应用[J].南京信息工程大学学报(自然科学版),2012,4(4):316-320.
卫捷,张庆云,陶诗言.1999 及 2000 年夏季华北严重干旱的物理成因分析[J].大气科学,2004,28(1):125-137.
邬定荣,刘建栋,刘玲,等.基于区域气候模式与作物干旱模式嵌套技术的华北农业干旱监测预测[J].科技导报,2009,27(11):33-38.
吴柏林,林玉钧.模糊时间数列的分析与预测:以台湾地区加权股价指数为例[J].应用数学学报,2002,25(1):67-76.
谢平,陈晓宏,王兆礼.湛江地区旱涝特征分析[J].水文,2010,30(1):89-92+13.
谢五三,田红.五种干旱指标在安徽省应用研究[J].气象,2011,37(4):503-507.
谢应齐.关于干旱指标的研究[J].自然灾害学报,1993,2(2):55-62.
熊立华,郭生练,肖义,等.Copula联结函数在多变量水文频率分析中的应用[J].武汉大学学报(工学版),2005,38(6):16-19.
徐向阳.水灾害[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2006.
许继军,杨大文.基于分布式水文模拟的干旱评估预报模型研究[J].水利学报,2010,41(6):739-747.
闫桂霞,陆桂华,吴志勇,等.基于PDSI和SPI的综合气象干旱指数研究[J].水利水电技术,2009,40(4):10-13.
杨世刚,杨德保,赵桂香,等.三种干旱指数在山西省干旱分析中的比较[J].高原气象,2011,30(5):1406-1414.
姚玉璧,董安祥,王毅荣,等.基于帕默尔干旱指数的中国春季区域干旱特征比较研究[J].干旱区地理,2007,30(1):22-29.
于敏,高玉中,张洪玲.地表温度-植被指数特征空间干旱监测方法的改进[J].农业工程学报,2010,26(9):243-250.
余卫红,方修琦.近50年我国北方地区旱涝的时空变化[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2001,37(6):838-842.
袁文平,周广胜.标准化降水指标与Z指数在我国应用的对比分析[J].植物生态学报,2004a,28(4):523-529.
袁文平,周广胜.干旱指标的理论分析与研究展望[J].地球科学进展,2004b,19(6):982-991.
翟建青,曾小凡,姜彤.中国旱涝格局演变(1961—2050 年)及其对水资源的影响[J].热带地理,2011,31(3):237-242.
张德二.我国“中世纪温暖期”气候的初步推断[J].第四纪研究,1993,13(1):7-15.
张德二,李小泉,梁有叶.《中国近五百年旱涝分布图集》的再续补(1993~2000年)[J].应用气象学报,2003,14(3):379-388.
张德二,刘传志.《中国近五百年旱涝分布图集》续补(1980—1992年)[J].气象,1993,19(11):41-45.
张景书.干旱的定义及其逻辑分析[J].干旱地区农业研究,1993,11(3):97-100.
张俊,陈桂亚,杨文发.国内外干旱研究进展综述[J].人民长江,2011,42(10):65-69.
张鹏,迟贵富,李锋,等.“Z指数”在抚顺地区旱涝分析中的应用[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(3):1396-1398.
张强,张存杰,白虎志,等.西北地区气候变化新动态及对干旱环境的影响——总体暖干化,局部出现暖湿迹象[J].干旱气象,2010,28(1):1-7.
中华人民共和国国家质量监督检验检疫总局,中国国家标准化管理委员会.气象干旱等级:GB/T 20481—2017 [S],北京:中国标准出版社,2017.
中国气象局气象科学研究院.中国近五百年旱涝分布图集[M].北京:中国地图出版社,1981.
周后福,方茸,张建军,等.基于SVD和修正Z指数的汛期旱涝预测及其应用[J].气候与环境研究,2010,15(1):64-72.
周静,周雁翎,李厚伟,等.马尔可夫概型分析方法在肇庆市旱涝预测中的应用[J].广东气象,2012,34(1):51-52+55. 周牡丹.气候变化情景下新疆地区干旱指数及作物需水量预测[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2014.
邹仁爱,陈俊鸿.干旱预报的研究进展评述[J].灾害学,2005,20(3):112-116.
邹旭恺,任国玉,张强.基于综合气象干旱指数的中国干旱变化趋势研究[J].气候与环境研究,2010,15(4):371-378.
ALADAG C H,YOLCU U,EGRIOGLU E,et al.A new time invariant fuzzy time series forecasting method based on particle swarm optimization [J].Applied Soft Computing,2012,12(10):3291-3299.
ARORA V K.The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff [J].Journal of Hydrology,2002,265(1):164-177.
BATES B C,KUNDZEWICZ Z W,WU S,et al.Climate change and water:Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [M],Geneva:IPCC Secretariat,2008.
BEGUERÍA S,VICENTE SERRANO S M,ANGULO MARTÍNEZ M.A Multi scalar Global Drought Dataset:The SPEIbase:A New Gridded Product for the Analysis of Drought Variability and Impacts [J].Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2010,91(10):1351-1356.
BHUIYAN C,SINGH R P,KOGAN F N.Monitoring drought dynamics in the Aravalli region(India)using different indices based on ground and remote sensing data [J].International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2006,8(4):289-302.
BLENKINSOP S,FOWLER H J.Changes in European drought characteristics projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models [J].International Journal of Climatology,2007,27(12).
BONACCORSO B,BORDI I,CANCELLIERE A,et al.Spatial variability of drought:An analysis of the SPI in Sicily [J].Water Resources Management,2003,17(4):273-296.
BUDYKO M I.Climate and life [M].Orlando:Academic Press,1974.
BYUN H R,WILHITE D A.Objective quantification of drought severity and duration [J].Journal of Climate,1999,12(9):2747-2756.
CACCAMO G,CHISHOLM L A,BRADSTOCK R A,et al.Assessing the sensitivity of MODIS to monitor drought in high biomass ecosystems [J].Remote Sensing of Environment,2011,115(10):2626-2639.
CANCELLIERE A,DI MAURO G,BONACCORSO B,et al.Drought forecasting using the standardized precipitation index [J].Water Resources Management,2007,21(5):801-819.
CHEN S,HSU C.A New Method to Forecast Enrollments Using Fuzzy Time Series [J].International Journal of Applied Science and Engineering,2004,2(3):234-244.
CHEN T,CHENG C,TEOH H J.Fuzzy time-series based on Fibonacci sequence for stock price forecasting [J].Physica A-statistical Mechanics and Its Applications,2007,380(380):377-390.
CHENG C,CHEN T,TEOH H J,et al.Fuzzy time series based on adaptive expectation model for TAIEX forecasting [J].Expert Systems With Applications,2008,34(2):1126-1132.
DAI A,TRENBERTH K E E,QIAN T.A Global Dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870-2002:Relationship with Soil Moisture and Effects of Surface Warming [J].Journal of Hydrometeorolo gy,2004,5(6):1117-1130.
DE MICHELE C,SALVADORI G.A Generalized Pareto intensity-duration model of storm rainfall exploiting 2-Copulas [J].Journal of Geophysical Research,2003,108(D2):4067.
DOGAN S,BERKTAY A,SINGH V P.Comparison of multi-monthly rainfall-based drought severity indices,with application to semi-arid Konya closed basin,Turkey [J].Journal of Hydrology,2012,470:255-268.
ERINC S.An attempt on precipitation efficiency and a new index [M].Istanbul University Institute Release:Baha Press,1965.
FAROKHNIA A,MORID S,BYUN H.Application of global SST and SLP data for drought forecasting on Tehran plain using data mining and ANFIS techniques [J].Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2011,104(1):71-81.
FIORDALISO A.A nonlinear forecasts combination method based on Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy systems [J].International Journal of Forecasting,1998,14(3):367-379.
GENEST C,FAVRE A.Everything You Always Wanted to Know about Copula Modeling but Were Afraid to Ask [J].Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,2007,12(4):347-368.
GHULAM A,QIN Q,TEYIP T,et al.Modified perpendicular drought index(MPDI):a real time drought monitoring method [J].Isprs Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing,2007,62(2):150-164.
GOETSCHEL J R H.Representations with fuzzy darts [J].Fuzzy Sets and Systems,1997,89(1):77-105.
GUTTMAN N B.Accepting the standardized precipitation index:A calculation algorithm [J].Journal of the American Water Resources Association,1999,35(2):311-323.
HAYES M J,WILHELMI O V,KNUTSON C L.Reducing Drought Risk:Bridging Theory and Practice[J].Natural Hazards Review,2004,5(2):106-113.
KAO S,GOVINDARAJU R S.Trivariate statistical analysis of extreme rainfall events via the Plackett family of copulas [J].Water Resources Research,2008,44(2):W02415.
KARL T R.The Sensitivity of the Palmer Drought Severity Index and Palmer's Z-Index to their Calibration Coefficients Including Potential Evapotranspiration [J].Journal of Applied Meteorology,1986,25(1):77-86.
KESKIN F,SORMAN A U.Assessment of the dry and wet period severity with hydrometeorological index[J].International journal of water resources and environmental engineering,2010,2(2):029-039.
KHAN S,GABRIEL H F,RANA T.Standard precipitation index to track drought and assess impact of rainfall on watertables in irrigation areas [J].Irrigation and Drainage Systems,2008,22(2):159-177.
KHEDUN C P,CHOWDHARY H,GIARDINO J R,et al.Analysis of drought severity and duration based on runoff derived from the Noah land surface model [J].Symposium on Data-Driven Approaches to Droughts,2011:44.
KIM D,BYUN H,CHOI K.Evaluation,modification,and application of the Effective Drought Index to 200-Year drought climatology of Seoul,Korea [J].Journal of Hydrology,2009,378(1):1-12.
KUNG H,HUA J,CHEN C.Drought Forecast Model and Framework Using Wireless Sensor Networks[J].Journal of Information Science and Engineering,2006,22(4):751-769.
LI Y,SUN C.Impacts of the superimposed climate trends on droughts over 1961-2013 in Xinjiang,China[J].Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2017,129:977-994.
LI Y,YAO N,SAHIN S,et al.Spatiotemporal variability of four precipitation-based drought indices in Xinjiang,China [J].Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2017,129(3):1-18.
LI Y,ZHOU M.Trends in Dryness Index Based on Potential Evapotranspiration and Precipitation over 1961-2099 in Xinjiang,China [J].Advances in Meteorology,2014,2014:1-15.
LOAICIGA H A,VALDES J B,VOGEL R M,et al.Global warming and the hydrologic cycle [J].Journal of Hydrology,1996,174:83-127.
LOGAN K E,BRUNSELL N A,JONES A R,et al.Assessing spatiotemporal variability of drought in the U.S.central plains [J].Journal of Arid Environments,2010,74(2):247-255.
MCKEE T B,DOESKEN N J,KLEIST J.The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales [C]//Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology,Boston,MA:American Meteorological Society,1993,17(22):179-183.
MISHRA A K,SINGH V P.A review of drought concepts [J].Journal of Hydrology,2010,391(1):202-216.
MO K C.Model-Based Drought Indices over the United States [J].Journal of Hydrometeorology,2008,9(6):1212-1230.
MORADI H R,RAJABI M,FARAGZADEH M.Investigation of meteorological drought characteristics in Fars province,Iran [J].Catena,2011,84(1):35-46.
MORID S,SMAKHTIN V,MOGHADDASI M.Comparison of seven meteorological indices for drought monitoring in Iran [J].International Journal of Climatology,2006,26(7):971-985.
NELSEN R B.An Introduction to Copulas [J].Technometrics,2000,42(3).
NTALE H K,GAN T Y.Drought indices and their application to East Africa [J].International Journal of Climatology,2003,23(11):1335-1357.
NYABEZE W R.Estimating and interpreting hydrological drought indices using a selected catchment in Zimbabwe [J].Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Parts A/b/c,2004,29(15-18):0-1180.
PALMER W C.Meteorological Drought:U.S [M].Weather Bureau Research Paper,1965,64.
PALMER W C.Keeping Track of Crop Moisture Conditions,Nationwide:The New Crop Moisture Index[J].Weatherwise,1968,21(1):156-161.
PAULO A A,PEREIRA L S.Prediction of SPI Drought Class Transitions Using Markov Chains [J].Water Resources Management,2007,21(10):1813-1827.
QUIRING S M,PAPAKRYIAKOU T N.An evaluation of agricultural drought indices for the Canadian prairies [J].Agricultural and Forest Meteorology,2003,118(1):49-62.
RAJE D,MUJUMDAR P P.Hydrologic drought prediction under climate change:Uncertainty modeling with Dempster-Shafer and Bayesian approaches [J].Advances in Water Resources,2010,33(9):1176-1186.
REZAEIAR-ZADEH M,TABARI H.MLP-based drought forecasting in different climatic regions [J].Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2012,109(3-4):407-414.
RHEE J,CARBONE G J.A Comparison of Weekly Monitoring Methods of the Palmer Drought Index [J].Journal of Climate,2007,20(24):6033-6044.
RIEBSAME W E,CHANGNON J S A,KARL T R.Drought and natural resources management in the United States:Impacts and implications of the 1987-89 drought [M].Boulder,Colorado:Westview Press,1991.
SAHIN S.An aridity index defined by precipitation and specific humidity [J].Journal of Hydrology,2012,444-445:199-208.
SHAFER B A,DEZMAN L E.Development of a Surface Water Supply Index(SWSI)to assess the sever ity of drought conditions in snowpack runoff areas [C]//Proceedings of the western snow conference,Fort Collins,CO:Colorado State University,1982,50:164-175.
SHAHABFAR A,GHULAM A,EITZINGER J.Drought monitoring in Iran using the perpendicular drought indices [J].International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2012,18(18):119-127.
SHIAU J T.Return period of bivariate distributed extreme hydrological events [J].Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment,2003,17(1):42-57.
SHUKLA S,WOOD A W.Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought [J].Geophysical Research Letters,2008,35(2).
SINGH S.A simple method of forecasting based on fuzzy time series [J].Applied Mathematics and Com putation,2007,186(1):330-339.
SMAKHTIN V U,HUGHES D A.Automated estimation and analyses of meteorological drought characteristics from monthly rainfall data [J].Environmental Modelling and Software,2007,22(6):880-890.
SOLOMON S,QIN D,MANNING M,et al.Climate Change 2007:The Physical Science Basis.Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)[J].Computational Geometry,2007,18(2):95-123.
SONG Q,CHISSOM B S.Forecasting enrollments with fuzzy time series—PartⅠ [J].Fuzzy Sets and Systems,1993a,54(1):1-9.
SONG Q,CHISSOM B S.Fuzzy time series and its models [J].Fuzzy Sets and Systems,1993b,54(3):269-277.
SONG Q,CHISSOM B S.Forecasting enrollments with fuzzy time series—PartⅡ [J].Fuzzy Sets and Systems,1994,62(1):1-8.
SONG Q,LELAND R P,CHISSOM B S.A new fuzzy time-series model of fuzzy number observations[J].Fuzzy Sets and Systems,1995,73(3):341-348.
SONG Q,LELAND R P,CHISSOM B S.Fuzzy stochastic fuzzy time series and its models [J].Fuzzy Sets and Systems,1997,88(3):333-341.
SONG S,SINGH V P.Frequency analysis of droughts using the Plackett copula and parameter estimation by genetic algorithm [J].Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment,2010a,24(5):783-805.
SONG S,SINGH V P.Meta-elliptical copulas for drought frequency analysis of periodic hydrologic data[J].Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment,2010b,24(3):425-444.
STAUDINGER M,STAHL K,SEIBERT J.A drought index accounting for snow [J].Water Resources Research,2014,50(10):7861-7872.
SUN X,LI Y.Average based fuzzy time series models for forecasting Shanghai compound index [J].World Journal of Modelling and Simulation,2008,4(2):104-111.
SVOBODA M,LECOMTE D,HAYES M J,et al.The drought monitor [J].Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2002,83(8):1181-1190.
TSAKIRIS G,VANGELIS H.Towards a Drought Watch System based on Spatial SPI [J].Water Resources Management,2004,18(1):1-12.
VICENTE-SERRANO S M,AZORIN-MOLINA C,SANCHEZ-LORENZO A,et al.Temporal evo lution of surface humidity in Spain:recent trends and possible physical mechanisms [J].Climate Dynamics,2014,42(9-10):2655-2674.
VICENTE-SERRANO S M,BEGUERÍA S,LÓPEZ-MORENO J I.A Multiscalar Drought Index Sensitive to Global Warming:The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index [J].Journal of Climate,2010,23(7):1696-1718.
VICENTE-SERRANO S M,LOPEZ-MORENO J I.Hydrological response to different time scales of climatological drought:an evaluation of the Standardized Precipitation Index in a mountainous Mediterranean basin [J].Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2005,9(5):523-533.
WILHITE D A,HAYES M J,KNUTSON C,et al.Planning for drought:Moving from crisis to risk management [J].Journal of the American Water Resources Association,2000,36(4):697-710.
WMO.International meteorological vocabulary [C]//United Nations Conference on Environment and Development,Rio de Janeiro,Brazil:World Meteorologic Organization(WMO),1992,182:784.
WU H,HAYES M J,WEISS A,et al.An evaluation of the Standardized Precipitation Index,the China-Z In dex and the statistical Z-Score [J].International Journal of Climatology,2001,21(6):745-758.
YU H K.A refined fuzzy time-series model for forecasting [J].Physica A-statistical Mechanics and Its Applications,2005,346(3-4):657-681.
ZHANG L,SINGH V P.Gumbel-Hougaard copula for trivariate rainfall frequency analysis [J].Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,2007a,12(4):409-419.
ZHANG L,SINGH V P.Trivariate flood frequency analysis using the Gumbel Hougaard copula [J].Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,2007b,12(4):431-439.